The Queensland Government population projections 2015 edition were released in late April 2016. Although showing no great differences from the previous edition at a State level there have been some notable findings to emerge for these latest projections.
In terms of Total population, based on the low, medium and high projection series, Queensland’s population is projected to grow from 4.5 million persons in 2011 to between 6.2 million and 7.3 million persons by 2036. Continuing growth is expected to result in a population of between 8.0 million (low series) and 11.3 million persons (high series) by 2061.
Projected population, by projection series, at 30 June, Queensland
And in terms of age structure Queensland population is projected to change significantly in the 50-year period to 2061. While there will be increasing numbers of persons in all age groups, a significant increase in the older population and larger numbers of children are projected.
Population by age group, at 30 June, Queensland
Brisbane is projected to remain the most populous LGA in Queensland, increasing from 1.09 million persons in 2011 to between 1.37 million and 1.50 million persons by 2036. Gold Coast is projected to have the second-largest population in 2036 (increasing from 515,000 to between 788,000 and 949,000 persons in the 25 years to 2036), followed by Moreton Bay, Logan, Ipswich, Sunshine Coast and Townsville.
Age structures are projected to change significantly during the 25-year period to 2036 in many of Queensland’s LGAs. In regard to older persons this is particularly notable. The number of persons aged 65 years and over is projected to increase significantly in most Queensland LGAs in the 25-year period to 2036. Brisbane (up 127,000 persons) is projected to have the largest increase in the population aged 65 years and over. Gold Coast (up 101,000), Moreton Bay (79,000) and Sunshine Coast (67,000) are projected to experience the next-largest increases in this age group.
About MacroPlan: MacroPlan’s experienced and qualified economists align their understanding of macro-economic forces with micro-economic variables such as geographic and industrial characteristics, demographics, labour market shifts, resource demand and commercial realities. To know more, please contact MacroPlan’s General Manager Queensland Mark Courtney or go to the Queensland State Government Statisticians website.